
The big thing for propagation is the ground wave at frequencies below 3 MHz. After you get a good ground you are at the mercy of your local soil conductivity. To give you some idea I selected two 1,000 watt radio stations operating at 1490 kHz at different parts of the country.
The first is WKVT from Brattleboro, VT which has soil conductivity value of 1.
http://www.radio-locator.com/cgi-bin/in ... service=AM
Click on the "View Coverage Map" and you'll notice that coverage area evends to aroun 25 miles.
Now check out KFON from Austin, Texas for their coverage map.
http://www.radio-locator.com/cgi-bin/in ... service=AM
You'll notice the range is 3-4 times as far. The difference is the soil conductivity value is 15-30 and it shows up in greater range.
Two stations operating on the same frequency with the same wattage, omnidirectional antennas but different soil conductivity. The best thing you can do is have a good ground and the rest you're at the mercy of local conditions.
I think you'll do fine with a 30' mast. The big thing is to get away from wiring and large metal objects.
